Graded in public
Everyone forecasts. Nobody grades. We do.
Every correction, every verdict and every result stays on this page, misses included.
Our predictions, on the record
Every prediction we label is published before the outcome is known, with how it will be measured and the date it will be scored. The original never changes. Hits and misses stay up side by side.
Nothing here has been scored yet.
Generated imageCorrections
A wrong number is corrected in the same slot.
Each correction is listed here with the date, what the number said, what it says now, and why. None so far.
Proof, rumor or pending
Trend claims, checked against the shelf.
Claims you send us are answered here in one word: proof, rumor or pending. We never name the brand or the person who sent it.
The Markdown Ledger From Mon 23 Nov
Black Friday, graded the next week.
Every morning from 27 to 30 Nov we read whether markdowns are lower, unchanged or higher than over 9 to 22 Nov. The results post here on Tue 1 Dec.
The Prediction Ledger Opens after its backtest
Our own calls, sealed and then graded.
Every forecast goes in with a timestamp, a confidence score and a deadline, and stays whether it lands or not. These are our model's own forecasts, separate from the labeled predictions above, and they join this page after their backtest.
Free report